Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 688.465424 775.103826 871.669982 987.884254 1124.747497 1281.787921 1477.029604
2025-02-23 568.262960 683.403620 823.336336 1008.355812 1250.278721 1561.214788 2000.110021
2025-03-02 505.884439 633.227133 796.472237 1025.667352 1346.818792 1793.108571 2483.488208
2025-03-09 452.435934 584.205832 760.360575 1019.915458 1404.984572 1976.847618 2935.958050
2025-03-16 407.124315 538.859371 720.998476 1000.186469 1434.639188 2117.650839 3348.173433
2025-03-23 379.635630 514.258050 706.407264 1012.334222 1511.187588 2341.517984 3952.313141
2025-03-30 346.113268 477.238114 669.042026 983.619163 1516.015817 2444.234535 4359.752082
2025-04-06 318.373937 445.957522 636.714711 958.083177 1520.845693 2545.424660 4788.747042
2025-04-13 293.316795 416.483477 604.171719 927.901122 1512.246926 2618.574535 5177.274160
2025-04-20 283.043948 408.656146 604.613471 952.676453 1605.500939 2905.347884 6137.383215
2025-04-27 269.978828 395.303460 594.732633 957.981158 1662.361530 3128.848420 7023.904641
2025-05-04 261.384981 388.327310 594.551741 980.254313 1755.249180 3448.980678 8292.419994
2025-05-11 247.784401 373.091826 580.600686 978.453817 1805.334017 3699.418541 9530.200547
2025-05-18 239.503511 366.173142 580.593874 1003.680223 1918.620169 4135.977389 11615.841999
2025-05-25 230.666653 357.484979 576.413818 1019.768075 2014.147584 4555.006103 13924.885909
2025-06-01 219.567981 344.062003 562.452910 1014.301459 2059.107765 4852.041564 15993.740026
2025-06-08 207.582566 328.258745 542.784803 994.659532 2066.796645 5046.090728 17787.973180
2025-06-15 200.672569 320.950852 538.350494 1006.732575 2155.146325 5511.074320 21268.290818
2025-06-22 189.388388 305.073559 516.377485 978.217954 2134.790996 5627.703668 23095.770043
2025-06-29 179.359536 290.905545 496.718112 952.861562 2118.996478 5757.386354 25155.748621
2025-07-06 169.556241 276.624812 475.898042 922.889317 2086.343712 5822.034407 26924.055174
2025-07-13 166.392073 274.424212 478.753212 947.492495 2209.632998 6491.567750 33621.551107
2025-07-20 161.386081 268.466608 473.606198 952.760163 2278.971507 6988.295808 39941.381425